Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.284038 0.331065 0.383619 0.446738 0.520546 0.604193 0.706291
2025-01-12 0.206496 0.267075 0.342253 0.442583 0.573278 0.738184 0.962757
2025-01-19 0.167975 0.233245 0.320265 0.445129 0.620368 0.858562 1.208666
2025-01-26 0.148376 0.218335 0.317237 0.467856 0.692621 1.017502 1.526228
2025-02-02 0.133257 0.206153 0.314560 0.488393 0.762014 1.179267 1.869819
2025-02-09 0.119743 0.193674 0.308688 0.501808 0.820639 1.330745 2.218048
2025-02-16 0.107034 0.180234 0.298857 0.506547 0.864655 1.463247 2.552976
2025-02-23 0.095169 0.166287 0.285939 0.503656 0.894390 1.574481 2.865907
2025-03-02 0.083353 0.150688 0.267965 0.489095 0.900956 1.645239 3.115110
2025-03-09 0.077694 0.145141 0.266596 0.503618 0.961208 1.818758 3.578080
2025-03-16 0.071041 0.136846 0.259098 0.505496 0.997486 1.951587 3.980546
2025-03-23 0.066024 0.130966 0.255269 0.513665 1.046574 2.114566 4.465651
2025-03-30 0.059273 0.120993 0.242629 0.503256 1.058100 2.206567 4.822404
2025-04-06 0.053870 0.113084 0.233159 0.498183 1.080218 2.323791 5.252745
2025-04-13 0.049876 0.107572 0.227850 0.501066 1.119505 2.482264 5.798469
2025-04-20 0.048287 0.106983 0.232749 0.526726 1.212503 2.770881 6.688930
2025-04-27 0.046570 0.105881 0.236368 0.549918 1.302936 3.065812 7.640400
2025-05-04 0.044353 0.103366 0.236523 0.565068 1.376433 3.331029 8.559925
2025-05-11 0.041637 0.099356 0.232778 0.570421 1.426855 3.547428 9.388782
2025-05-18 0.038618 0.094256 0.225880 0.567156 1.455312 3.713191 10.110409
2025-05-25 0.035103 0.087533 0.214316 0.550711 1.447796 3.786348 10.592470
2025-06-01 0.033768 0.086084 0.215488 0.567113 1.528781 4.101690 11.801308
2025-06-08 0.031771 0.082706 0.211433 0.569234 1.571587 4.320600 12.768807